Virginia Election Looks Close As Red County Turnout Also Surging

While the surge successful Democratic turnout for Virginia gubernatorial predetermination was a surprise, the surge successful reddish region turnout was not.

Dave Wasserman of The Cook Political Report tweeted:

To beryllium clear, Charlottesville is not typical of each bluish areas. For example, Falls Church (Biden +64) was astatine 102% of its '17 full astatine 4pm.

But arsenic expected, Rs are seeing a large enthusiasm surge vs. '17. Whether it's capable for Youngkin, we'll see. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 2, 2021

A surge successful reddish region turnout is not a shock. Virginia Republicans person mislaid connected a regular ground implicit the past decade. They are bare for a win, and they person a accidental to triumph thing that mightiness beryllium retired of their grasp for the adjacent decennary aft the caller census fig enactment the immense bulk of the authorities successful bluish blue Virginia.

The Virginia predetermination looks apt not to beryllium an casual triumph for Democrats oregon Republicans. It could beryllium a precise agelong predetermination night, arsenic Democrats and Republicans are showing up to vote.

The large unanswered question is, volition the surge successful the reddish counties beryllium capable to offset the Democratic vantage successful the fig of voters?

Glenn Youngkin could find himself successful a Trump 2020 concern wherever helium maximizes the Republican ballot but inactive loses, oregon if Democratic turnout is simply a spot lower, the surge could powerfulness him to victory.

Either way, it could beryllium a agelong predetermination nighttime successful Virginia, arsenic the federation looks on.